Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 7.079256 8.087283 9.200453 10.523011 12.054247 13.774552 15.858265
2025-06-22 5.753530 7.066452 8.633816 10.650716 13.188659 16.291160 20.393832
2025-06-29 4.870354 6.302708 8.112110 10.580931 13.885536 18.189341 24.273072
2025-07-06 4.224877 5.701922 7.654871 10.449689 14.385259 19.786703 27.859943
2025-07-13 3.888046 5.444904 7.588005 10.787859 15.503258 22.288631 32.958692
2025-07-20 3.588766 5.192364 7.479934 11.027061 16.471561 24.647987 38.113450
2025-07-27 3.386723 5.049374 7.500576 11.437254 17.714108 27.526742 44.409523
2025-08-03 3.052444 4.669871 7.122986 11.184354 17.878165 28.716937 48.098150
2025-08-10 2.789494 4.371414 6.835099 11.032077 18.169009 30.116845 52.281517
2025-08-17 2.564757 4.110308 6.577685 10.895090 18.456346 31.520440 56.620130
2025-08-24 2.361829 3.864959 6.320740 10.727189 18.661534 32.785734 60.841897
2025-08-31 2.174090 3.627694 6.054422 10.512600 18.752651 33.841221 64.778088
2025-09-07 2.114095 3.604682 6.153689 10.961455 20.112002 37.409513 74.171857
2025-09-14 2.004819 3.486037 6.074960 11.076766 20.855782 39.890628 81.712023
2025-09-21 1.877916 3.324788 5.905100 11.002307 21.219488 41.657675 87.982593
2025-09-28 1.754569 3.159596 5.713313 10.865244 21.439684 43.150523 93.850653
2025-10-05 1.706541 3.129661 5.769653 11.218028 22.691763 46.925927 105.395942
2025-10-12 1.648625 3.075919 5.775291 11.467599 23.751712 50.409894 116.777413
2025-10-19 1.615076 3.066072 5.864351 11.895621 25.239097 55.008805 131.548410
2025-10-26 1.507528 2.902412 5.635414 11.631722 25.170141 56.067758 137.642356
2025-11-02 1.419754 2.771803 5.462889 11.472833 25.320381 57.650562 145.317722
2025-11-09 1.340422 2.652555 5.304413 11.329904 25.491433 59.300077 153.418279
2025-11-16 1.264042 2.533951 5.138297 11.154729 25.567565 60.724961 161.124800